Research & Policy Center

Tajikistan holds Central Asia's largest renewable freshwater inventory but faces structural risks across infrastructure, climate, and transboundary governance.

Tajikistan's 14,000+ glaciers have lost an estimated 30% of area since 1990. Fedchenko retreat rates exceed 16 m/year.

World Bank approved $350M in late 2024. Full commissioning is now targeted around 2033 with 3,780 MW of installed capacity.

Spring snowmelt combined with GLOF risk and convective storm mudflows make Khatlon Tajikistan's most flood-exposed lowland.

Only ~52% of GBAO residents have reliable clean water year-round. Micro-hydro and gravity spring systems are the primary intervention.

Tajikistan generates ~55% of Amu Darya basin runoff but allocations under the ICWC framework remain heavily skewed toward downstream irrigators.

A consolidated recommendation framework spanning monitoring, governance, hydropower, climate adaptation, and regional diplomacy.